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Commodities Buzz: Gold's long run return has been well over inflation says WGC
17-Oct-2024 18:20
World Gold Council or WGC stated in a latest update that gold's long-run return has been well above inflation for over 50 years, closely mirroring global gross domestic product (GDP), a proxy for the economic expansion driver. WGC calls this approach as Gold Long-Term Expected Return or GLTER ' which uses the distribution of above-ground gold stocks analyzed via different demand categories as a foundation and starting point. The drivers of gold buyers across various demand segments ' jewellery and technology fabrication, central banks, financial investment, retail bars and coins ' are crucially broader and more important than existing theories suggest. In addition, although financial market investors tend to dictate price formation in the short term, they are less dominant in the long term. WGC says that gold price over long horizons is mainly driven by an economic component, proxied by global nominal GDP, coupled with a financial component, proxied by the capitalisation of global stock and bond markets, that balances the overall relationship. Third-party inputs are then used to estimate long-term expected returns for gold, WGC noted.

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